Serie B · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
America Mineiro
Home
0-2
Full time
Arena Independência
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
America Mineiro wins
0
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
America Mineiro
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
São Bernardo
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| America Mineiro | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
America Mineiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro |
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
America Mineiro face São Bernardo in Serie B. America Mineiro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). São Bernardo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for America Mineiro, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Independência as part of the Serie B.
