EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026
Chesterfield
Home
5-3
Full time
SMH Group Stadium
Manchester City U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
15%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
92%
1.02
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
92%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chesterfield wins
0
Draws
0
Manchester City U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
95%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
33%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Chesterfield
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Manchester City U21
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chesterfield | Manchester City U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Chesterfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Manchester City U21
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chesterfield face Manchester City U21 in EFL Trophy. Chesterfield have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Manchester City U21 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 92%.
Manchester City U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Manchester City U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Chesterfield, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Manchester City U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Manchester City U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 92% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
