AFC Champions League Elite · Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Home
2-1
Full time
Kingdom Arena
Al-Gharafa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
0
Draws
0
Al-Gharafa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Al-Gharafa
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Al-Gharafa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |
Al-Gharafa |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Al-Hilal Saudi FC face Al-Gharafa in AFC Champions League Elite. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Al-Gharafa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Al-Hilal Saudi FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Al-Hilal Saudi FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Al-Gharafa. Our top recommended betting pick is Al-Hilal Saudi FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026 at 18:15 (East Africa Time) at Kingdom Arena as part of the AFC Champions League Elite.
