La Liga · Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026
Elche
Home
2-3
Full time
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Real Madrid
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Elche wins
0
Draws
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
93%
13%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
66%
Team news
Elche
- M. Aguado · Ankle Injury
- Y. Santiago · Knee Injury
- F. Redondo Solari · Red Card
- A. Boayar · Muscle Injury
- G. Diangana · Knee Injury
- A. Osorio · Muscle Injury
Real Madrid
- R. Asencio · Broken Leg
- F. Mendy · Hip Injury
- Rodrygo · Knee Injury
- Vinicius Junior · Red Card
- F. Valverde · Hamstring Injury
- T. Courtois · Illness
- Eder Militao · Hamstring Injury
- D. Huijsen · Red Card
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Elche
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Real Madrid
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Elche | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Elche
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Real Madrid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Elche face Real Madrid in La Liga. Elche have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game). Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Real Madrid's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Madrid to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Elche, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Real Madrid. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Madrid Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero as part of the La Liga.
