Ligue A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Musongati
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Le Messager Ngozi
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
28%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Musongati wins
0
Draws
0
Le Messager Ngozi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
83%
20%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
Musongati
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Le Messager Ngozi
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Musongati
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
25%
Behind
75%
Le Messager Ngozi
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Le Messager Ngozi |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Musongati |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Musongati face Le Messager Ngozi in Ligue A. Musongati have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Le Messager Ngozi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Le Messager Ngozi's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Le Messager Ngozi to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Musongati, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Le Messager Ngozi. Our top recommended betting pick is Le Messager Ngozi Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ligue A.
