Ettan - Norra · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Piteå
Home
0-2
Full time
LF Arena
Umeå FC
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Piteå wins
0
Draws
0
Umeå FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Piteå
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Umeå FC
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Piteå | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Piteå
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Umeå FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Piteå face Umeå FC in Ettan - Norra. Piteå have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Umeå FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Umeå FC's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Umeå FC to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Piteå, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Umeå FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Umeå FC Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at LF Arena as part of the Ettan - Norra.
