Copa Rio · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Madureira
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
31%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins
0
Draws
0
Madureira wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Madureira
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ | Madureira | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Madureira
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sampaio Corrêa RJ face Madureira in Copa Rio. Sampaio Corrêa RJ have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Madureira have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 44% probability backing Sampaio Corrêa RJ, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sampaio Corrêa RJ to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Sampaio Corrêa RJ, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Madureira. Our top recommended betting pick is Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa Rio.
