Reserve League · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Lanús Res.
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Independiente Riva. Res.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
9%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lanús Res. wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente Riva. Res. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Lanús Res.
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Independiente Riva. Res.
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lanús Res. | Independiente Riva. Res. | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Lanús Res.
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Independiente Riva. Res.
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Lanús Res. |
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 36 |
| 18 |
Independiente Riva. Res. |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lanús Res. face Independiente Riva. Res. in Reserve League. Lanús Res. have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Independiente Riva. Res. have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Lanús Res., home advantage and superior chance creation make Lanús Res. to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Lanús Res., a 9% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Independiente Riva. Res.. Our top recommended betting pick is Lanús Res. Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Reserve League.
