UEFA Europa League · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
AC Milan
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Benfica
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
26%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the AC Milan v Benfica pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AC Milan wins
0
Draws
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
95%
73%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
AC Milan
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Benfica
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
3.17
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AC Milan | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
AC Milan
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
63%
Behind
38%
Benfica
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
AC Milan face Benfica in UEFA Europa League. AC Milan have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Benfica have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Benfica's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Benfica to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for AC Milan, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Benfica. Our top recommended betting pick is Benfica Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
