UEFA Europa League · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Sunderland
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadium of Light
AZ Alkmaar
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sunderland wins
0
Draws
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
26%
Attack
95%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Sunderland
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
AZ Alkmaar
last 5 away from home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
2.80
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sunderland | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Sunderland
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
AZ Alkmaar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sunderland face AZ Alkmaar in UEFA Europa League. Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). AZ Alkmaar have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sunderland, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for AZ Alkmaar. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadium of Light as part of the UEFA Europa League.
