Segunda División · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Deportivo Lara
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare
Atletico el Vigia FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
20%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Lara wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico el Vigia FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
80%
53%
Attack
80%
86%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Deportivo Lara
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Atletico el Vigia FC
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Lara | Atletico el Vigia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Deportivo Lara
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Atletico el Vigia FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Lara face Atletico el Vigia FC in Segunda División. Deportivo Lara have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Atletico el Vigia FC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 53% probability backing Deportivo Lara, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Lara to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Deportivo Lara, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Atletico el Vigia FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Lara Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare as part of the Segunda División.
