CONCACAF Central American Cup · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Alianza
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
CD Motagua
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.89 - 2.08
Win probability
Home
8%
Draw
19%
Away
72%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Draw/Away
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza wins
0
Draws
1
CD Motagua wins
10 Sep 2026
CD Motagua
3 - 0
Alianza
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
8%
Win probability
72%
Home and away record
Alianza
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
CD Motagua
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Alianza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
CD Motagua
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza face CD Motagua in CONCACAF Central American Cup. Alianza have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). CD Motagua have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Alianza won 0, CD Motagua won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
CD Motagua's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 72% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CD Motagua to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 8% win probability for Alianza, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 72% probability for CD Motagua. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Motagua Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 03:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
