AFC Champions League Two · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Home United
Home
1-1
Full time
Jalan Besar Stadium
BG Pathum United
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Home United wins
0
Draws
0
BG Pathum United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
41%
50%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Home United
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
BG Pathum United
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Home United | BG Pathum United | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Home United
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
BG Pathum United
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Home United |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
BG Pathum United |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Home United face BG Pathum United in AFC Champions League Two. Home United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). BG Pathum United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Home United, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for BG Pathum United. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium as part of the AFC Champions League Two.
