Liga Leumit · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Ashdod
Home
3-2
Full time
Yud-Alef Stadium
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
20%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ashdod wins
0
Draws
0
Hapoel Rishon LeZion wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
86%
73%
Attack
66%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Ashdod
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Ashdod | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Ashdod
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ashdod |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |
Hapoel Rishon LeZion |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ashdod face Hapoel Rishon LeZion in Liga Leumit. Ashdod have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Hapoel Rishon LeZion have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Ashdod, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ashdod to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Ashdod, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Our top recommended betting pick is Ashdod Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium as part of the Liga Leumit.
