Ettan - Norra · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Järfälla
Home
5-0
Full time
Jarfallavallen
Karlberg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
9%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Järfälla wins
0
Draws
0
Karlberg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
46%
13%
Attack
20%
20%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Järfälla
last 5 at home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
0.20
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Karlberg
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Järfälla | Karlberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Järfälla
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
44%
Behind
56%
Karlberg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Järfälla face Karlberg in Ettan - Norra. Järfälla have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 12 (0 points per game). Karlberg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Järfälla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Järfälla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Järfälla, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Karlberg. Our top recommended betting pick is Järfälla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen as part of the Ettan - Norra.
