Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Beşiktaş
Home
4-1
Full time
Tüpraş Stadium
Marseille
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
21%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Beşiktaş wins
0
Draws
0
Marseille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
73%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Beşiktaş
last 6 at home
6W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Marseille
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Beşiktaş | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Beşiktaş
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Marseille
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Beşiktaş face Marseille in UEFA Europa League. Beşiktaş have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Marseille have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 51% probability backing Beşiktaş, home advantage and superior chance creation make Beşiktaş to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Beşiktaş, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Marseille. Our top recommended betting pick is Beşiktaş Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
