UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Plzen
Home
0-3
Full time
Doosan Arena
Union St. Gilloise
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
17%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Plzen wins
0
Draws
0
Union St. Gilloise wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
86%
73%
Attack
93%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Plzen
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
2.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Union St. Gilloise
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.83
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Plzen | Union St. Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Plzen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Union St. Gilloise
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 10 |
| 30 |
Plzen |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Plzen face Union St. Gilloise in UEFA Europa League. Plzen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Union St. Gilloise have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 77% probability backing Plzen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Plzen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Plzen, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Union St. Gilloise. Our top recommended betting pick is Plzen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Doosan Arena as part of the UEFA Europa League.
