Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Hamburger SV
Home
2-1
Full time
Volksparkstadion
1. FC Köln
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hamburger SV wins
0
Draws
0
1. FC Köln wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
60%
13%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Hamburger SV
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
1. FC Köln
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Hamburger SV | 1. FC Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Hamburger SV
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
1. FC Köln
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hamburger SV face 1. FC Köln in Bundesliga. Hamburger SV have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). 1. FC Köln have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 52% probability backing Hamburger SV, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hamburger SV to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Hamburger SV, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for 1. FC Köln. Our top recommended betting pick is Hamburger SV Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion as part of the Bundesliga.
