ELC · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Burnley
Home
14:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Derby County
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burnley wins
0
Draws
0
Derby County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
26%
Match Preview & Analysis
Burnley face Derby County in ELC. We have no recent results on record for Burnley. We have no recent results on record for Derby County.
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Burnley, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burnley to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Burnley, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Derby County. Our top recommended betting pick is Burnley Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the ELC.
