Serie A · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
AC Milan
Home
18:45
d ::
Venue TBC
US Lecce
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AC Milan wins
0
Draws
0
US Lecce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
50%
46%
Attack
50%
60%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
AC Milan
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
US Lecce
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/0 0% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/0 0% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/0 0% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 0/0 0% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/0 0% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/0 0% |
At half time
AC Milan
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
56%
Behind
44%
US Lecce
No half-time scores on record for this side.
Match Preview & Analysis
AC Milan face US Lecce in Serie A. AC Milan have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). We have no recent results on record for US Lecce.
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing AC Milan, home advantage and superior chance creation make AC Milan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for AC Milan, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for US Lecce. Our top recommended betting pick is AC Milan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
