Turkey · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Erzurumspor FK
Home
1-0
Full time
Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
Samsunspor
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.06
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
19%
Away
71%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Erzurumspor FK wins
0
Draws
0
Samsunspor wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
13%
Attack
40%
26%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
71%
Home and away record
Erzurumspor FK
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Samsunspor
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Erzurumspor FK | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Erzurumspor FK
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Samsunspor
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Erzurumspor FK face Samsunspor in Turkey. Erzurumspor FK have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Samsunspor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Samsunspor's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 71% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Samsunspor to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Erzurumspor FK, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 71% probability for Samsunspor. Our top recommended betting pick is Samsunspor Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu as part of the Turkey.
