Netherlands · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Jong AZ
Home
4-1
Full time
AFAS Trainingscomplex
FC Volendam
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Jong AZ wins
0
Draws
0
FC Volendam wins
11 Jul 2026
Jong AZ
3 - 1
FC Volendam
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
80%
Attack
93%
33%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Jong AZ
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
FC Volendam
last 8 away from home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jong AZ | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Jong AZ
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
FC Volendam
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jong AZ face FC Volendam in Netherlands. Jong AZ have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). FC Volendam have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Jong AZ won 1, FC Volendam won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 85% probability backing Jong AZ, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jong AZ to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Jong AZ, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for FC Volendam. Our top recommended betting pick is Jong AZ Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex as part of the Netherlands.
