Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Durango
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
20%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Durango wins
0
Draws
0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Durango
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Durango | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Durango |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Durango face Cruz Azul Hidalgo in Liga de Expansión MX. Durango have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Durango, home advantage and superior chance creation make Durango to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Durango, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Our top recommended betting pick is Durango Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
