First League · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Shkendija
Home
4-1
Full time
Gradski stadion Gostivar
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
10%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Shkendija wins
0
Draws
0
Bashkimi Kumanovo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Shkendija
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Bashkimi Kumanovo
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Shkendija
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Bashkimi Kumanovo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
14%
Behind
57%
Match Preview & Analysis
Shkendija face Bashkimi Kumanovo in First League. Shkendija have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Bashkimi Kumanovo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 80% probability backing Shkendija, home advantage and superior chance creation make Shkendija to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Shkendija, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Bashkimi Kumanovo. Our top recommended betting pick is Shkendija Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Gostivar as part of the First League.
