Eerste Divisie · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Almere City FC
Home
1-0
Full time
Yanmar Stadion
Heracles
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almere City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Heracles wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
95%
93%
Attack
95%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Almere City FC
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Heracles
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Almere City FC | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Almere City FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
78%
Behind
22%
Heracles
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
13%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Almere City FC face Heracles in Eerste Divisie. Almere City FC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Heracles have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 20 and conceding 6 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Almere City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Almere City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Almere City FC, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Heracles. Our top recommended betting pick is Almere City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
