Eerste Divisie · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Den Bosch
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadion de Vliert
Helmond Sport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
21%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Den Bosch wins
0
Draws
0
Helmond Sport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
73%
6%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Den Bosch
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Helmond Sport
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Den Bosch
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Helmond Sport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Den Bosch face Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie. Den Bosch have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game). Helmond Sport have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 49% probability backing Den Bosch, home advantage and superior chance creation make Den Bosch to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Den Bosch, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Helmond Sport. Our top recommended betting pick is Den Bosch Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion de Vliert as part of the Eerste Divisie.
