Eerste Divisie · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Waalwijk
Home
6-1
Full time
Mandemakers Stadion
MVV
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Waalwijk wins
0
Draws
0
MVV wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Waalwijk
last 8 at home
2W
5D
1L
1.38
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
MVV
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Waalwijk | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Waalwijk
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
MVV
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Waalwijk face MVV in Eerste Divisie. Waalwijk have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). MVV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Waalwijk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Waalwijk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Waalwijk, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for MVV. Our top recommended betting pick is Waalwijk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
