Premier League 2 Division One · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Burnley U21
Home
4-1
Full time
Lancashire County Ground
Derby County U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
19%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burnley U21 wins
0
Draws
0
Derby County U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
86%
26%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Burnley U21
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Derby County U21
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Burnley U21 | Derby County U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Burnley U21
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Derby County U21
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
Derby County U21 |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 26 |
Burnley U21 |
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Burnley U21 face Derby County U21 in Premier League 2 Division One. Burnley U21 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Derby County U21 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 15 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 55% probability backing Burnley U21, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burnley U21 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Burnley U21, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Derby County U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Burnley U21 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Lancashire County Ground as part of the Premier League 2 Division One.
