First Division · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Finn Harps
Home
0-1
Full time
Finn Park
Longford Town
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Finn Harps wins
0
Draws
1
Longford Town wins
03 Aug 2026
Longford Town
5 - 0
Finn Harps
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
40%
5%
Defence
26%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Finn Harps
last 6 at home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Longford Town
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
2.43
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Finn Harps | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Finn Harps
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Longford Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Longford Town |
33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +2 | 47 |
| 10 |
Finn Harps |
33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -36 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Finn Harps face Longford Town in First Division. Finn Harps have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game). Longford Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Finn Harps won 0, Longford Town won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Finn Harps, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Longford Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Finn Park as part of the First Division.
