Primera B · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Patriotas
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio La Independencia
Union Magdalena
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
26%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Patriotas wins
0
Draws
0
Union Magdalena wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Patriotas |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 |
Union Magdalena |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Patriotas face Union Magdalena in Primera B. Patriotas have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Union Magdalena have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 59% probability backing Patriotas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Patriotas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Patriotas, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Union Magdalena. Our top recommended betting pick is Patriotas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 23:05 (East Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia as part of the Primera B.
