Major League Soccer · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
New York City FC
Home
0-1
Full time
Yankee Stadium
New York Red Bulls
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York City FC wins
0
Draws
0
New York Red Bulls wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
New York City FC
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
New York Red Bulls
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
New York City FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
New York Red Bulls
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York City FC face New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer. New York City FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). New York Red Bulls have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing New York City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make New York City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for New York City FC, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for New York Red Bulls. Our top recommended betting pick is New York City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
