Serie B · Friday, 18 Sep 2026
Ceara
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Castelão
Novorizontino
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ceara wins
0
Draws
0
Novorizontino wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
40%
Attack
86%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Ceara
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Novorizontino
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ceara | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Ceara
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
20%
Behind
70%
Novorizontino
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino |
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +34 | 70 |
| 16 |
Ceara |
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ceara face Novorizontino in Serie B. Ceara have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Novorizontino have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Ceara, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Novorizontino. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 18 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão as part of the Serie B.
