Primera Division · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Inca Aruba
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Fuerte San Francisco
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
17%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Inca Aruba wins
0
Draws
0
Fuerte San Francisco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
13%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Inca Aruba
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Fuerte San Francisco
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Inca Aruba | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 5/8 63% |
At half time
Inca Aruba
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Fuerte San Francisco
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Inca Aruba |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 17 |
| 12 |
Fuerte San Francisco |
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Inca Aruba face Fuerte San Francisco in Primera Division. Inca Aruba have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Fuerte San Francisco have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 17% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Inca Aruba, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Fuerte San Francisco. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
