Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Tepatitlán
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Mineros de Zacatecas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
16%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tepatitlán wins
0
Draws
0
Mineros de Zacatecas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
60%
5%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Tepatitlán
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Mineros de Zacatecas
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tepatitlán | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 63% 5/8 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Tepatitlán
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Mineros de Zacatecas
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Mineros de Zacatecas |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 |
Tepatitlán |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tepatitlán face Mineros de Zacatecas in Liga de Expansión MX. Tepatitlán have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 18 (0.6 points per game). Mineros de Zacatecas have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
Mineros de Zacatecas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mineros de Zacatecas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Tepatitlán, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for Mineros de Zacatecas. Our top recommended betting pick is Mineros de Zacatecas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
