Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Piratas
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Venados FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Piratas v Venados FC pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Piratas wins
0
Draws
0
Venados FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
93%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Piratas
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Venados FC
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Piratas | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Piratas
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Venados FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Piratas face Venados FC in Liga de Expansión MX. Piratas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Venados FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 14 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 81% probability backing Piratas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Piratas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Piratas, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Venados FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Piratas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
