Liga Nacional · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Atlético Choloma
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Ruben Deras
Estrella Roja
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
28%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Choloma wins
0
Draws
0
Estrella Roja wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Atlético Choloma
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Estrella Roja
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Atlético Choloma | Estrella Roja | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Atlético Choloma
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
Estrella Roja
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Estrella Roja |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 |
Atlético Choloma |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Choloma face Estrella Roja in Liga Nacional. Atlético Choloma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Estrella Roja have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Estrella Roja's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Estrella Roja to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Atlético Choloma, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Estrella Roja. Our top recommended betting pick is Estrella Roja Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras as part of the Liga Nacional.
