J3 League · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Kagoshima United
Home
3-1
Full time
Shiranami Stadium
Tochigi SC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
29%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kagoshima United wins
0
Draws
0
Tochigi SC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
80%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Kagoshima United
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Tochigi SC
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Kagoshima United | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Kagoshima United
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Tochigi SC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Kagoshima United |
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 12 |
Tochigi SC |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kagoshima United face Tochigi SC in J3 League. Kagoshima United have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Tochigi SC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Kagoshima United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kagoshima United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Kagoshima United, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Tochigi SC. Our top recommended betting pick is Kagoshima United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium as part of the J3 League.
