Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Aurrerá Vitoria
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Deportivo Alavés III
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
19%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aurrerá Vitoria wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Alavés III wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
50%
Attack
95%
66%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Aurrerá Vitoria
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Deportivo Alavés III
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Deportivo Alavés III | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Aurrerá Vitoria
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Deportivo Alavés III
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aurrerá Vitoria face Deportivo Alavés III in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Aurrerá Vitoria have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Deportivo Alavés III have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
Deportivo Alavés III's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Alavés III to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Aurrerá Vitoria, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Deportivo Alavés III. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Alavés III Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
