League One · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Home
1-1
Full time
Dingnan Football Youth Training Center
Dongguan United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins
0
Draws
0
Dongguan United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
6%
40%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Dongguan United
last 6 away from home
0W
1D
5L
0.17
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Dongguan United | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Dongguan United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Heilongjiang Lava Spring |
24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -11 | 23 |
| 16 |
Dongguan United |
24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -25 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Heilongjiang Lava Spring face Dongguan United in League One. Heilongjiang Lava Spring have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game). Dongguan United have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Heilongjiang Lava Spring, home advantage and superior chance creation make Heilongjiang Lava Spring to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Heilongjiang Lava Spring, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Dongguan United. Our top recommended betting pick is Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center as part of the League One.
