League One · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Barnsley
Home
1-1
Full time
Oakwell Ground
Leicester
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
20%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Barnsley wins
0
Draws
0
Leicester wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Barnsley
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Leicester
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Barnsley | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Barnsley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Leicester
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Barnsley face Leicester in League One. Barnsley have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (1.4 points per game). Leicester have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 53% probability backing Barnsley, home advantage and superior chance creation make Barnsley to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Barnsley, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Leicester. Our top recommended betting pick is Barnsley Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground as part of the League One.
