FA WSL · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Chelsea W
Home
2-0
Full time
Stamford Bridge
Birmingham City W
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chelsea W wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham City W wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
16%
95%
Attack
50%
75%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chelsea W
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Birmingham City W
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Chelsea W | Birmingham City W | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Chelsea W
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Birmingham City W
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chelsea W face Birmingham City W in FA WSL. Chelsea W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3 (2.5 points per game). Birmingham City W have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 93% probability backing Chelsea W, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chelsea W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Chelsea W, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Birmingham City W. Our top recommended betting pick is Chelsea W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 11:45 (East Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge as part of the FA WSL.
