3. Division - Girone 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Bærum
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Union Carl Berner
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bærum wins
0
Draws
0
Union Carl Berner wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Bærum
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Union Carl Berner
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Bærum | Union Carl Berner | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Bærum
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Union Carl Berner
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bærum face Union Carl Berner in 3. Division - Girone 1. Bærum have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Union Carl Berner have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Bærum, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bærum to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Bærum, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Union Carl Berner. Our top recommended betting pick is Bærum Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 3. Division - Girone 1.
