Regionalliga - SudWest · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
VfR Aalen
Home
2-3
Full time
OSTALB ARENA
SGV Freiberg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
VfR Aalen wins
0
Draws
0
SGV Freiberg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
VfR Aalen
last 7 at home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
SGV Freiberg
last 6 away from home
1W
5D
0L
1.33
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| VfR Aalen | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
VfR Aalen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
SGV Freiberg
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
VfR Aalen |
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |
SGV Freiberg |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
Match Preview & Analysis
VfR Aalen face SGV Freiberg in Regionalliga - SudWest. VfR Aalen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). SGV Freiberg have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing VfR Aalen, home advantage and superior chance creation make VfR Aalen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for VfR Aalen, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for SGV Freiberg. Our top recommended betting pick is VfR Aalen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at OSTALB ARENA as part of the Regionalliga - SudWest.
