Derde Divisie · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Excelsior Maassluis
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Roosendaal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior Maassluis wins
0
Draws
0
Roosendaal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Excelsior Maassluis
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Roosendaal
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Excelsior Maassluis | Roosendaal | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Excelsior Maassluis
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Roosendaal
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 13 |
Roosendaal |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis face Roosendaal in Derde Divisie. Excelsior Maassluis have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Roosendaal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 53% probability backing Excelsior Maassluis, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excelsior Maassluis to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Excelsior Maassluis, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Roosendaal. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior Maassluis Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
