National 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Concarneau
Home
2-0
Full time
Stade Guy Piriou
Caen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
19%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Concarneau wins
0
Draws
0
Caen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Concarneau
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Caen
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Concarneau | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Concarneau
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Caen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Concarneau face Caen in National 1. Concarneau have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Caen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
With a 50% probability backing Concarneau, home advantage and superior chance creation make Concarneau to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Concarneau, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Caen. Our top recommended betting pick is Concarneau Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou as part of the National 1.
