National 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Rouen
Home
1-0
Full time
Stade Robert Diochon
Aubagne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.98 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
95%
Draw
3%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
95%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
98%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.48
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rouen wins
0
Draws
0
Aubagne wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
80%
Attack
20%
86%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
95%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Rouen
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Aubagne
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Rouen | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 75% 6/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 4/7 57% |
At half time
Rouen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Aubagne
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Rouen face Aubagne in National 1. Rouen have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Aubagne have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 15%.
With a 95% probability backing Rouen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rouen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 95% win probability for Rouen, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Aubagne. Our top recommended betting pick is Rouen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.48 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 15%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon as part of the National 1.
