Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
3-4
Full time
Borussia-Park
FSV Mainz 05
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
0
Draws
0
FSV Mainz 05 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
95%
13%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Borussia Mönchengladbach
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
FSV Mainz 05
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
6.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 100% 9/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
11%
Behind
22%
FSV Mainz 05
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
FSV Mainz 05 |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach |
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach face FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). FSV Mainz 05 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Borussia Mönchengladbach, home advantage and superior chance creation make Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for FSV Mainz 05. Our top recommended betting pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Borussia-Park as part of the Bundesliga.
