League Two · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Accrington ST
Home
0-0
Full time
The Crown Ground
Newport County
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Accrington ST wins
0
Draws
0
Newport County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
13%
53%
Attack
46%
26%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Accrington ST
last 7 at home
3W
4D
0L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Newport County
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Accrington ST | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Accrington ST
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Accrington ST |
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Accrington ST face Newport County in League Two. Accrington ST have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Newport County have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Accrington ST, home advantage and superior chance creation make Accrington ST to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Accrington ST, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Newport County. Our top recommended betting pick is Accrington ST Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Crown Ground as part of the League Two.
