III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Jarosław
Home
5-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
19%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jarosław wins
0
Draws
0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Jarosław
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.57
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
last 6 away from home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.83
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jarosław | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Jarosław
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Jarosław |
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
| 18 |
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Jarosław face Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów in III Liga - Group 4. Jarosław have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Jarosław, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jarosław to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Jarosław, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. Our top recommended betting pick is Jarosław Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
