NB III - Southwest · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Érdi VSE
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Sárbogárd
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Érdi VSE wins
0
Draws
0
Sárbogárd wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
20%
20%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Érdi VSE
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Sárbogárd
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Érdi VSE | Sárbogárd | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 5/8 63% |
At half time
Érdi VSE
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Sárbogárd
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
13%
Behind
88%
Match Preview & Analysis
Érdi VSE face Sárbogárd in NB III - Southwest. Érdi VSE have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game). Sárbogárd have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Érdi VSE, home advantage and superior chance creation make Érdi VSE to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Érdi VSE, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Sárbogárd. Our top recommended betting pick is Érdi VSE Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the NB III - Southwest.
